
Dave's Monthly Market Update - June 2025
Monthly Market UpdatesGreetings!
As June begins, markets continue to navigate a complex landscape shaped by trade policy shifts, an uncertain economic and earnings outlook.
- Trade Policy in Flux. The May 28 court ruling blocking most of President Trump’s tariffs has introduced some additional uncertainty for investors. The administration has other legal avenues to pursue if needed and will likely be able to maintain tariffs at levels consistent with prior expectations.
- Solid Earnings Results. First quarter earnings season delivered broadly positive results, with nearly 80% of companies exceeding analysts’ expectations. Large-cap technology companies (the so-called Magnificent Seven) drove nearly half of the 13% S&P 500 earnings per share growth.
- Stock Valuations May Reflect Too Much Optimism. It would help investor sentiment if trade uncertainty cleared up so the focus could shift toward the tax bill currently in Congress. Whatever your view is on tariffs, there is no doubt that tariff revenue — if preserved — will be helpful in getting the 2017 tax cuts extended.
As we move further into the summer months, key catalysts to watch include inflation data, further developments in trade negotiations, central bank commentary, and progress on the tax bill. Meanwhile, corporate America’s sales and profit margins will garner increasing support from artificial intelligence in the quarters and years ahead. We encourage long-term investors to watch for opportunities to add equities on dips, though periodic bouts of market volatility are to be expected until there is greater clarity on trade.
Thank you for your continued support, I am grateful for our relationship. Let’s stay healthy and positive, and please contact me if you have questions at 651-464-2664.
Sincerely,
David E. Purdy
Founding Partner
Wealth Management Midwest, Inc.
o: 651.464.2664 | david.purdy@lplfinancial.com
www.wealthmanagementmidwest.com
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